Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Jon Jones won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, July 6, 2019·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJon Jones: Elusive strikervsThiago Santos: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Jon Jones wins(66.6%)
Actual result: Jon Jones wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Jones enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Jon Jones has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jon Jones has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jon Jones has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jon Jones
Red Corner
VS
Thiago Santos
Blue Corner
-670
(87%)
Vegas Odds
+485
(17%)
38
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
213.36 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon JonesW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Dec 18W
vs Anthony Smith · Mar 19W
vs Dominick Reyes · Feb 20W
SUBvs Ciryl Gane · Mar 23W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Nov 24Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon JonesMetricThiago Santos
4.38
Strikes / min
3.72
2.24
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
64%
Strike defense
53%
1.89
TDs / 15 min
0.88
95%
Takedown defense
65%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.14evenly matched on net striking+1.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon JonesThiago Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Jones(10 fights)Thiago Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+78.1-78.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Jon Jones
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights19
Thiago Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24