Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Jon Jones won · SUB R4
UFC Event·Saturday, September 22, 2012·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Jon Jones wins(66.6%)
Actual result: Jon Jones wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Jones enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Jon Jones has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jon Jones has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Vitor Belfort (53.5%).
- Jon Jones has a 25cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jon Jones
Red Corner
VS
Vitor Belfort
Blue Corner
-840
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+660
(13%)
38
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'4"
Height
6'0"
213.36 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon JonesW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Anthony Smith · Mar 19W
vs Thiago Santos · Jul 19W
vs Dominick Reyes · Feb 20W
SUBvs Ciryl Gane · Mar 23W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Nov 24Vitor Belfort
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dan Henderson · Nov 15L
KOvs Jacare Souza · May 16L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Oct 16W
vs Nate Marquardt · Jun 17L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · May 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon JonesMetricVitor Belfort
4.38
Strikes / min
1.59
2.24
Strikes absorbed / min
2.83
64%
Strike defense
50%
1.89
TDs / 15 min
1.02
95%
Takedown defense
53%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.14Δ 3.38 — meaningful gap-1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon JonesVitor Belfort
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Jones(10 fights)Vitor Belfort(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+80.6-80.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Jon Jones
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights19
Vitor Belfort
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13