Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jon Madsen won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 3, 2010·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jon Madsen wins(59.3%)
Actual result: Jon Madsen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Madsen has 44pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jon Madsen has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jon Madsen
Red Corner
VS
Karlos Vemola
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
46
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon Madsen
oldest →latest
W
vs Mostapha Al-Turk · Apr 10W
KOvs Gilbert Yvel · Oct 10L
KOvs Mike Russow · Mar 11Karlos VemolaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Seth Petruzelli · Nov 10L
vs Ronny Markes · Aug 11W
SUBvs Mike Massenzio · May 12L
SUBvs Francis Carmont · Jul 12L
SUBvs Caio Magalhaes · Jun 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon MadsenMetricKarlos Vemola
2.46
Strikes / min
1.67
1.18
Strikes absorbed / min
2.13
81%
Strike defense
37%
1.32
TDs / 15 min
1.93
70%
Takedown defense
31%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.28Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon MadsenKarlos Vemola
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Madsen(4 fights)Karlos Vemola(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.5-13.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.348.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Jon Madsen
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Karlos Vemola
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6