Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mike Russow won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 26, 2011·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jon Madsen wins(53.5%)
Actual result: Mike Russow wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Madsen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Jon Madsen has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jon Madsen has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jon Madsen
Red Corner
VS
Mike Russow
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
46
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon MadsenW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Mostapha Al-Turk · Apr 10W
vs Karlos Vemola · Jul 10W
KOvs Gilbert Yvel · Oct 10Mike RussowL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Todd Duffee · May 10W
vs Jon Olav Einemo · Jan 12L
KOvs Fabricio Werdum · Jun 12L
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Jan 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon MadsenMetricMike Russow
2.46
Strikes / min
1.55
1.18
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
81%
Strike defense
59%
1.32
TDs / 15 min
4.66
70%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.28Δ 2.63 — meaningful gap-1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon MadsenMike Russow
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Madsen(4 fights)Mike Russow(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.9-24.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-147.0147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
Jon Madsen
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Mike Russow
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5