Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Madsen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Jon Madsen has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jon Madsen has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon MadsenW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Mostapha Al-Turk · Apr 10W
vs Karlos Vemola · Jul 10W
KOvs Gilbert Yvel · Oct 10 Mike RussowL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Todd Duffee · May 10W
vs Jon Olav Einemo · Jan 12L
KOvs Fabricio Werdum · Jun 12L
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Jan 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon MadsenMetricMike Russow
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.28Δ 2.63 — meaningful gap-1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jon MadsenMike Russow
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Madsen(4 fights)Mike Russow(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.3|Blue -138.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -147.0|Blue +147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jon MadsenTargetMike Russow
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jon Madsen edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:29Control
Round 2Mike Russow edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:56Control
