Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jon Madsen won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 10, 2010·Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Jon Madsen wins(64.9%)
Actual result: Jon Madsen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Madsen has 28pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jon Madsen has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Mostapha Al-Turk has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jon Madsen
Red Corner
VS
Mostapha Al-Turk
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
46
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
182.88 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon Madsen
oldest →latest
W
vs Karlos Vemola · Jul 10W
KOvs Gilbert Yvel · Oct 10L
KOvs Mike Russow · Mar 11Mostapha Al-TurkNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon MadsenMetricMostapha Al-Turk
2.46
Strikes / min
1.36
1.18
Strikes absorbed / min
3.61
81%
Strike defense
53%
1.32
TDs / 15 min
0.00
70%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.28Δ 3.53 — meaningful gap-2.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon MadsenMostapha Al-Turk
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Madsen(4 fights)Mostapha Al-Turk(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Jon Madsen
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Mostapha Al-Turk
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights1