Welterweight
3 Rounds
Neil Magny won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 23, 2013·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jon Manley wins(59.7%)
Actual result: Neil Magny wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Neil Magny has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Neil Magny has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jon Manley
Red Corner
VS
Neil Magny
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
39
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon ManleyNo prior UFC fights on record.
Neil Magny
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon ManleyMetricNeil Magny
1.13
Strikes / min
3.40
4.33
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
45%
Strike defense
51%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
2.17
20%
Takedown defense
55%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.20Δ 4.16 — meaningful gap+0.96
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Manley(1 fights)Neil Magny(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Jon Manley
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach—
Fights1
Neil Magny
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37