Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jon Tuck won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 7, 2014·Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jon Tuck wins(61.6%)
Actual result: Jon Tuck wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Tuck threatens submissions; Jake Lindsey has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Jon Tuck has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jake Lindsey (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Jon Tuck
Red Corner
VS
Jake Lindsey
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
41
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon Tuck
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Tae Hyun Bang · May 15L
vs Josh Emmett · May 16L
vs Damien Brown · Nov 16W
SUBvs Takanori Gomi · Jun 17L
vs Drew Dober · Aug 18Jake LindseyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Oct 14L
KOvs Joe Duffy · Mar 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon TuckMetricJake Lindsey
3.00
Strikes / min
3.44
3.74
Strikes absorbed / min
4.01
60%
Strike defense
46%
0.42
TDs / 15 min
0.65
50%
Takedown defense
50%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.74evenly matched on net striking-0.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon TuckJake Lindsey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Tuck(9 fights)Jake Lindsey(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.848.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Jon Tuck
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9
Jake Lindsey
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights3