Lightweight
3 Rounds
Josh Emmett won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, May 8, 2016·Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands, Netherlands
Model Prediction: Jon Tuck wins(53.3%)
Actual result: Josh Emmett wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Jon Tuck
Red Corner
VS
Josh Emmett
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'6"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon Tuck
oldest →latest
L
vs Kevin Lee · Sep 14W
SUBvs Tae Hyun Bang · May 15L
vs Damien Brown · Nov 16W
SUBvs Takanori Gomi · Jun 17L
vs Drew Dober · Aug 18Josh EmmettL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ilia Topuria · Jun 23W
KOvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · Apr 25L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Oct 25L
KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon TuckMetricJosh Emmett
3.00
Strikes / min
3.67
3.74
Strikes absorbed / min
4.52
60%
Strike defense
59%
0.42
TDs / 15 min
1.07
50%
Takedown defense
43%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.74evenly matched on net striking-0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jon TuckJosh Emmett
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Tuck(9 fights)Josh Emmett(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.8-17.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.647.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Jon Tuck
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9
Josh Emmett
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17