Featherweight
3 Rounds
Charles Oliveira won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Friday, June 1, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJonathan Brookins: Well-roundedvsCharles Oliveira: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jonathan Brookins wins(59.5%)
Actual result: Charles Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Oliveira threatens submissions; Jonathan Brookins has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Jonathan Brookins has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Brookins (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jonathan Brookins
Red Corner
VS
Charles Oliveira
Blue Corner
+185
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
40
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jonathan Brookins
oldest →latest
W
vs Michael Johnson · Dec 10L
vs Erik Koch · Sep 11W
KOvs Vagner Rocha · Feb 12L
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Dec 12Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jonathan BrookinsMetricCharles Oliveira
2.69
Strikes / min
3.23
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
56%
Strike defense
48%
1.94
TDs / 15 min
2.29
80%
Takedown defense
54%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
2.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.94Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jonathan BrookinsCharles Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jonathan Brookins(5 fights)Charles Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-18.018.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Jonathan Brookins
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5
Charles Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights36