Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Marcus McGhee won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 16, 2024·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupJonathan Martinez: Pressure fightervsMarcus McGhee: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Marcus McGhee wins(50.1%)
Actual result: Marcus McGhee wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcus McGhee has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Martinez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jonathan Martinez
Red Corner
VS
Marcus McGhee
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
32
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jonathan Martinez
oldest →latest
W
vs Vince Morales · May 22W
KOvs Cub Swanson · Oct 22W
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Mar 23W
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Oct 23L
vs Jose Aldo · May 24Marcus McGhee
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Journey Newson · Apr 23W
KOvs JP Buys · Aug 23W
KOvs Gaston Bolanos · Jan 24L
vs Petr Yan · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jonathan MartinezMetricMarcus McGhee
4.44
Strikes / min
5.50
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
3.64
56%
Strike defense
57%
0.38
TDs / 15 min
0.31
68%
Takedown defense
90%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.35Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap+1.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jonathan MartinezMarcus McGhee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jonathan Martinez(10 fights)Marcus McGhee(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+47.6-47.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-112.0112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Jonathan Martinez
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15
Marcus McGhee
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5