Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Pearce (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jonathan PearceL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jul 22W
vs Darren Elkins · Dec 22L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Nov 23L
SUBvs Pat Sabatini · Oct 24 Christian Rodriguez
oldest →L
SUBvs Julian Erosa · Jul 24W
vs Austin Bashi · Jan 25L
vs Melquizael Costa · Mar 25W
SUBvs Hyder Amil · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jonathan PearceMetricChristian Rodriguez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.80evenly matched on net striking+1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jonathan PearceChristian Rodriguez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jonathan Pearce(9 fights)Christian Rodriguez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -27.4|Blue +27.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jonathan PearceTargetChristian Rodriguez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Christian Rodriguez rounds
Round 1Jonathan Pearce edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns2
Control4:23
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Jonathan Pearce edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns3
Control3:15
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control3:39
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:45Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
