Featherweight
3 Rounds
Pat Sabatini won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 12, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJonathan Pearce: WrestlervsPat Sabatini: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jonathan Pearce wins(56.9%)
Actual result: Pat Sabatini wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Pearce (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Jonathan Pearce
Red Corner
VS
Pat Sabatini
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
34
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jonathan PearceL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Feb 22W
KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jul 22W
vs Darren Elkins · Dec 22L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Nov 23L
vs David Onama · Apr 24Pat SabatiniW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Damon Jackson · Sep 22W
SUBvs Lucas Almeida · Jun 23L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Nov 23W
vs Joanderson Brito · Apr 25W
vs Chepe Mariscal · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jonathan PearceMetricPat Sabatini
5.12
Strikes / min
1.69
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
1.16
54%
Strike defense
54%
5.02
TDs / 15 min
4.27
55%
Takedown defense
50%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.80Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap+0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jonathan PearcePat Sabatini
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jonathan Pearce(9 fights)Pat Sabatini(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.511.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-168.0168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Jonathan Pearce
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9
Pat Sabatini
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10