Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ion Cutelaba won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2016·Portland, Oregon, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jonathan Wilson wins(64.0%)
Actual result: Ion Cutelaba wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Jonathan Wilson
Red Corner
VS
Ion Cutelaba
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
38
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jonathan WilsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Dempsey · Aug 15L
KOvs Henrique da Silva · Jun 16L
vs Oskar Piechota · Oct 17Ion Cutelaba
oldest →latest
L
vs Philipe Lins · Mar 24W
vs Ivan Erslan · Sep 24W
SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25W
SUBvs Oumar Sy · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jonathan WilsonMetricIon Cutelaba
2.92
Strikes / min
4.23
5.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.28
56%
Strike defense
47%
0.37
TDs / 15 min
3.76
80%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.73Δ 3.68 — meaningful gap+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jonathan WilsonIon Cutelaba
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jonathan Wilson(4 fights)Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.0-14.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Jonathan Wilson
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4
Ion Cutelaba
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights19