Welterweight
3 Rounds
Nathan Coy won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, February 21, 2016·Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Style matchupJonavin Webb: WrestlervsNathan Coy: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Nathan Coy wins(56.2%)
Actual result: Nathan Coy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nathan Coy (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jonavin Webb
Red Corner
VS
Nathan Coy
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
37
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jonavin Webb
oldest →latest
L
vs Kyle Noke · May 15Nathan CoyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Danny Roberts · Dec 15L
SUBvs Zak Cummings · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jonavin WebbMetricNathan Coy
1.47
Strikes / min
3.88
2.27
Strikes absorbed / min
2.40
64%
Strike defense
61%
2.50
TDs / 15 min
3.17
40%
Takedown defense
50%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.80Δ 2.28 — meaningful gap+1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jonavin WebbNathan Coy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jonavin Webb(2 fights)Nathan Coy(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+215.0-215.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Jonavin Webb
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Nathan Coy
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3