Flyweight
3 Rounds
David Dvorak won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, September 19, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJordan Espinosa: Elusive strikervsDavid Dvorak: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Jordan Espinosa wins(53.5%)
Actual result: David Dvorak wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- David Dvorak enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Jordan Espinosa
Red Corner
VS
David Dvorak
Blue Corner
-112
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-112
(53%)
36
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jordan Espinosa
oldest →latest
W
vs Eric Shelton · Mar 19L
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Aug 19L
SUBvs Alex Perez · Jan 20W
vs Mark De La Rosa · Jun 20L
vs Tim Elliott · Mar 21David DvorakL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 20W
SUBvs Juancamilo Ronderos · May 21L
vs Matheus Nicolau · Mar 22L
vs Manel Kape · Dec 22L
vs Steve Erceg · Jun 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jordan EspinosaMetricDavid Dvorak
4.22
Strikes / min
3.48
2.94
Strikes absorbed / min
3.29
57%
Strike defense
59%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
0.58
70%
Takedown defense
70%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.28Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jordan EspinosaDavid Dvorak
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jordan Espinosa(6 fights)David Dvorak(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.214.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Jordan Espinosa
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6
David Dvorak
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6