Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jordan Johnson won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 3, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJordan Johnson: WrestlervsAdam Milstead: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Jordan Johnson wins(71.5%)
Actual result: Jordan Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jordan Johnson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Jordan Johnson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jordan Johnson has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Jordan Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Adam Milstead
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
37
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jordan JohnsonW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Henrique da Silva · Jan 17W
vs Marcel Fortuna · Jul 17W
SUBvs Adam Yandiev · Sep 18Adam Milstead
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris de la Rocha · May 16L
KOvs Mike Rodriguez · Dec 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jordan JohnsonMetricAdam Milstead
3.45
Strikes / min
3.85
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
4.79
53%
Strike defense
43%
3.25
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
64%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.81Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap-0.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jordan JohnsonAdam Milstead
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jordan Johnson(4 fights)Adam Milstead(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.6-19.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-404.0404.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Jordan Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights4
Adam Milstead
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3