Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jordan Johnson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, July 7, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJordan Johnson: WrestlervsMarcel Fortuna: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jordan Johnson wins(71.6%)
Actual result: Jordan Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jordan Johnson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Marcel Fortuna has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jordan Johnson has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jordan Johnson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jordan Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Marcel Fortuna
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
37
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
200.66 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jordan JohnsonW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Henrique da Silva · Jan 17W
vs Adam Milstead · Mar 18W
SUBvs Adam Yandiev · Sep 18Marcel Fortuna
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Anthony Hamilton · Feb 17L
vs Jake Collier · Nov 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jordan JohnsonMetricMarcel Fortuna
3.45
Strikes / min
3.83
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
4.52
53%
Strike defense
64%
3.25
TDs / 15 min
0.45
100%
Takedown defense
75%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.81Δ 1.50 — meaningful gap-0.69
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jordan JohnsonMarcel Fortuna
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jordan Johnson(4 fights)Marcel Fortuna(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.6-3.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Jordan Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights4
Marcel Fortuna
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3