Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jordan Leavitt won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 16, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJordan Leavitt: WrestlervsTrey Ogden: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jordan Leavitt wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Jordan Leavitt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Trey Ogden has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jordan Leavitt (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jordan Leavitt
Red Corner
VS
Trey Ogden
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-135
(57%)
30
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jordan LeavittW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 22W
KOvs Victor Martinez · Feb 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Nov 23W
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · May 25W
vs Yadier del Valle · Feb 26Trey Ogden
oldest →latest
W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 22L
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 23W
vs Kurt Holobaugh · Mar 24W
vs Loik Radzhabov · Jul 24L
vs Thiago Moises · Jan 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jordan LeavittMetricTrey Ogden
2.21
Strikes / min
3.20
1.59
Strikes absorbed / min
3.49
58%
Strike defense
55%
3.15
TDs / 15 min
1.89
30%
Takedown defense
100%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.62evenly matched on net striking-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jordan LeavittTrey Ogden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jordan Leavitt(9 fights)Trey Ogden(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.4-17.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
Jordan Leavitt
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9
Trey Ogden
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6