Welterweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Alves won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 31, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJordan Mein: Well-roundedvsThiago Alves: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Jordan Mein wins(68.6%)
Actual result: Thiago Alves wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Jordan Mein
Red Corner
VS
Thiago Alves
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
36
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jordan MeinW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mike Pyle · Aug 14L
vs Emil Meek · Dec 16L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 17W
vs Erick Silva · Dec 17W
vs Alex Morono · Jul 18Thiago AlvesL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Curtis Millender · Feb 18L
vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Sep 18W
vs Max Griffin · Feb 19L
vs Laureano Staropoli · May 19L
SUBvs Tim Means · Dec 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jordan MeinMetricThiago Alves
3.35
Strikes / min
3.73
2.55
Strikes absorbed / min
3.42
69%
Strike defense
62%
1.56
TDs / 15 min
0.71
66%
Takedown defense
63%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jordan MeinThiago Alves
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jordan Mein(9 fights)Thiago Alves(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.8-33.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-126.0126.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Jordan Mein
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9
Thiago Alves
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15