Lightweight
3 Rounds
Gregor Gillespie won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 27, 2018·Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, USA
Style matchupJordan Rinaldi: Submission grapplervsGregor Gillespie: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Gregor Gillespie wins(67.4%)
Actual result: Gregor Gillespie wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gregor Gillespie has 80pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jordan Rinaldi
Red Corner
VS
Gregor Gillespie
Blue Corner
+425
(19%)
Vegas Odds
-550
(85%)
38
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jordan Rinaldi
oldest →latest
L
vs Abel Trujillo · May 16W
vs Alvaro Herrera · Aug 17W
vs Jason Knight · Nov 18L
vs Arnold Allen · Mar 19Gregor Gillespie
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jason Gonzalez · Sep 17W
SUBvs Vinc Pichel · Jun 18W
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jan 19L
KOvs Kevin Lee · Nov 19W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jordan RinaldiMetricGregor Gillespie
1.56
Strikes / min
3.74
2.32
Strikes absorbed / min
2.30
59%
Strike defense
57%
1.45
TDs / 15 min
6.86
20%
Takedown defense
100%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.76Δ 2.20 — meaningful gap+1.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jordan RinaldiGregor Gillespie
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jordan Rinaldi(5 fights)Gregor Gillespie(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-49.949.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Jordan Rinaldi
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5
Gregor Gillespie
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8