Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Zac Pauga won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 18, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJordan Wright: WrestlervsZac Pauga: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Zac Pauga wins(56.0%)
Actual result: Zac Pauga wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jordan Wright enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Zac Pauga enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jordan Wright is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Zac Pauga has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Zac Pauga has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Jordan Wright
Red Corner
VS
Zac Pauga
Blue Corner
+245
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-295
(75%)
34
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jordan WrightL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Nov 20W
KOvs Jamie Pickett · May 21L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 21L
SUBvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Apr 22L
KOvs Dusko Todorovic · Oct 22Zac PaugaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Mohammed Usman · Aug 22L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · Jun 23L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jordan WrightMetricZac Pauga
4.10
Strikes / min
4.46
6.03
Strikes absorbed / min
2.73
31%
Strike defense
58%
2.09
TDs / 15 min
0.38
100%
Takedown defense
100%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.93Δ 3.66 — meaningful gap+1.73
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jordan WrightZac Pauga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jordan Wright(7 fights)Zac Pauga(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-25.325.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Jordan Wright
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7
Zac Pauga
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4