Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Al Iaquinta enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jorge Masvidal has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jorge MasvidalL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 20L
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Apr 21L
vs Colby Covington · Mar 22L
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 23 Al IaquintaL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Apr 18L
vs Donald Cerrone · May 19L
KOvs Bobby Green · Nov 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jorge MasvidalMetricAl Iaquinta
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.00Δ 1.47 — meaningful gap-0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jorge MasvidalAl Iaquinta
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jorge Masvidal(10 fights)Al Iaquinta(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +45.2|Blue -45.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jorge MasvidalTargetAl Iaquinta
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jorge Masvidal edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:24
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jorge Masvidal edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Jorge Masvidal edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:01
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
