Welterweight
3 Rounds
Lorenz Larkin won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, May 29, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJorge Masvidal: Well-roundedvsLorenz Larkin: Elusive striker
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Jorge Masvidal wins(76.6%)
Actual result: Lorenz Larkin wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Jorge Masvidal
Red Corner
VS
Lorenz Larkin
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
41
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jorge MasvidalL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Nate Diaz · Nov 19L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 20L
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Apr 21L
vs Colby Covington · Mar 22L
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 23Lorenz Larkin
oldest →latest
L
vs Derek Brunson · Aug 14W
KOvs John Howard · Jan 15W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jun 15L
vs Albert Tumenov · Jan 16W
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jorge MasvidalMetricLorenz Larkin
4.05
Strikes / min
3.53
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
2.74
64%
Strike defense
63%
1.38
TDs / 15 min
0.27
72%
Takedown defense
79%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00evenly matched on net striking+0.79
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jorge MasvidalLorenz Larkin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jorge Masvidal(10 fights)Lorenz Larkin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+70.5-70.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Jorge Masvidal
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights22
Lorenz Larkin
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10