Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jorge Rivera won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Friday, January 20, 2012·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupJorge Rivera: Well-roundedvsEric Schafer: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Jorge Rivera wins(58.4%)
Actual result: Jorge Rivera wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Jorge Rivera
Red Corner
VS
Eric Schafer
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
54
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jorge RiveraL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Nate Quarry · Mar 10L
KOvs Michael Bisping · Feb 11L
vs Costas Philippou · Aug 11Eric SchaferL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jason Brilz · Mar 10L
vs Aaron Simpson · Oct 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jorge RiveraMetricEric Schafer
3.16
Strikes / min
1.89
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.38
54%
Strike defense
56%
0.84
TDs / 15 min
1.81
63%
Takedown defense
50%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.52Δ 2.01 — meaningful gap-1.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jorge RiveraEric Schafer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jorge Rivera(4 fights)Eric Schafer(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.9-14.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Jorge Rivera
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4
Eric Schafer
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3