Featherweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Volkanovski won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 11, 2019·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupJose Aldo: StrikervsAlexander Volkanovski: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Alexander Volkanovski wins(53.5%)
Actual result: Alexander Volkanovski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jose Aldo has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jose Aldo
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Volkanovski
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
39
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jose AldoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rob Font · Dec 21L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 22W
vs Jonathan Martinez · May 24L
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · May 25Alexander VolkanovskiW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 23L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 23L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Feb 24W
vs Diego Lopes · Apr 25W
vs Diego Lopes · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jose AldoMetricAlexander Volkanovski
3.65
Strikes / min
5.99
3.81
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
60%
Strike defense
58%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
1.63
92%
Takedown defense
68%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.16Δ 2.84 — meaningful gap+2.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jose AldoAlexander Volkanovski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jose Aldo(10 fights)Alexander Volkanovski(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.0-13.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Jose Aldo
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights23
Alexander Volkanovski
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights18