Featherweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Conor McGregor won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 12, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJose Aldo: StrikervsConor McGregor: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Jose Aldo wins(55.6%)
Actual result: Conor McGregor wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jose Aldo has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Conor McGregor (53.5%).
- Conor McGregor has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jose Aldo
Red Corner
VS
Conor McGregor
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
39
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jose AldoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rob Font · Dec 21L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 22W
vs Jonathan Martinez · May 24L
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · May 25Conor McGregorL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Eddie Alvarez · Nov 16L
SUBvs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Oct 18W
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jan 20L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jan 21L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jul 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jose AldoMetricConor McGregor
3.65
Strikes / min
5.32
3.81
Strikes absorbed / min
4.66
60%
Strike defense
54%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
0.67
92%
Takedown defense
66%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.16evenly matched on net striking+0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jose AldoConor McGregor
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jose Aldo(10 fights)Conor McGregor(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+10.0-10.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+259.0-259.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jose Aldo
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights23
Conor McGregor
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14