Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jose Aldo won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 28, 2018·Calgary, Alberta, Canada, Canada
Style matchupJose Aldo: StrikervsJeremy Stephens: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Jose Aldo wins(72.0%)
Actual result: Jose Aldo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Jose Aldo has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jose Aldo
Red Corner
VS
Jeremy Stephens
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jose AldoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rob Font · Dec 21L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 22W
vs Jonathan Martinez · May 24L
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · May 25Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Mar 19L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21L
vs Mason Jones · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jose AldoMetricJeremy Stephens
3.65
Strikes / min
3.13
3.81
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
60%
Strike defense
57%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
1.10
92%
Takedown defense
61%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.16evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jose AldoJeremy Stephens
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jose Aldo(10 fights)Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.5-32.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Jose Aldo
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights23
Jeremy Stephens
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights26