Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jose Aldo won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 4, 2024·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupJose Aldo: StrikervsJonathan Martinez: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Jose Aldo wins(57.1%)
Actual result: Jose Aldo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jose Aldo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jose Aldo has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Martinez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jose Aldo
Red Corner
VS
Jonathan Martinez
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-166
(62%)
39
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jose AldoL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 21W
vs Rob Font · Dec 21L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 22L
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · May 25Jonathan Martinez
oldest →latest
W
vs Vince Morales · May 22W
KOvs Cub Swanson · Oct 22W
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Mar 23W
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Oct 23L
vs Marcus McGhee · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jose AldoMetricJonathan Martinez
3.65
Strikes / min
4.44
3.81
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
60%
Strike defense
56%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
0.38
92%
Takedown defense
68%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.16evenly matched on net striking+0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jose AldoJonathan Martinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jose Aldo(10 fights)Jonathan Martinez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.616.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+420.0-420.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jose Aldo
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights23
Jonathan Martinez
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15