Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jose Aldo won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, December 19, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJose Aldo: StrikervsMarlon Vera: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Jose Aldo wins(60.4%)
Actual result: Jose Aldo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jose Aldo has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jose Aldo has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Jose Aldo
Red Corner
VS
Marlon Vera
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
39
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jose AldoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rob Font · Dec 21L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 22W
vs Jonathan Martinez · May 24L
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · May 25Marlon VeraL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jose AldoMetricMarlon Vera
3.65
Strikes / min
4.18
3.81
Strikes absorbed / min
5.34
60%
Strike defense
50%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
0.47
92%
Takedown defense
71%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.16evenly matched on net striking-1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jose AldoMarlon Vera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jose Aldo(10 fights)Marlon Vera(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.814.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Jose Aldo
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights23
Marlon Vera
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26