Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jose Aldo won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 2, 2019·Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupJose Aldo: StrikervsRenato Moicano: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Jose Aldo wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Jose Aldo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jose Aldo has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jose Aldo
Red Corner
VS
Renato Moicano
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
39
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jose AldoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rob Font · Dec 21L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 22W
vs Jonathan Martinez · May 24L
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · May 25Renato MoicanoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Drew Dober · Feb 24W
KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25L
vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jose AldoMetricRenato Moicano
3.65
Strikes / min
4.10
3.81
Strikes absorbed / min
3.55
60%
Strike defense
59%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
1.68
92%
Takedown defense
64%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.16evenly matched on net striking+0.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jose AldoRenato Moicano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jose Aldo(10 fights)Renato Moicano(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.9-30.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jose Aldo
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights23
Renato Moicano
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20