Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ateba Gautier won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 29, 2025·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Model Prediction: Ateba Gautier wins(55.9%)
Actual result: Ateba Gautier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jose Daniel Medina enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ateba Gautier enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Ateba Gautier is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Jose Daniel Medina has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Ateba Gautier has 66pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ateba Gautier (52.9%).
- Ateba Gautier has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jose Daniel Medina
Red Corner
VS
Ateba Gautier
Blue Corner
+360
(22%)
Vegas Odds
-460
(82%)
35
Age
24
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
6'4"
187.96 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jose Daniel MedinaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Zachary Reese · Aug 24L
SUBvs Dusko Todorovic · Sep 25L
KOvs Ryan Gandra · Feb 26Ateba GautierW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Robert Valentin · Jul 25W
KOvs Tre'ston Vines · Oct 25W
vs Andrey Pulyaev · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jose Daniel MedinaMetricAteba Gautier
2.13
Strikes / min
4.32
5.34
Strikes absorbed / min
2.60
46%
Strike defense
54%
0.39
TDs / 15 min
0.41
27%
Takedown defense
93%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.21Δ 4.93 — meaningful gap+1.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jose Daniel MedinaAteba Gautier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jose Daniel Medina(4 fights)Ateba Gautier(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.518.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Jose Daniel Medina
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4
Ateba Gautier
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights4