Middleweight
3 Rounds
Dusko Todorovic won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 13, 2025·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Dusko Todorovic wins(60.5%)
Actual result: Dusko Todorovic wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jose Daniel Medina enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dusko Todorovic enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dusko Todorovic is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Jose Daniel Medina has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Dusko Todorovic has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jose Daniel Medina
Red Corner
VS
Dusko Todorovic
Blue Corner
+320
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-405
(80%)
35
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jose Daniel MedinaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Zachary Reese · Aug 24L
KOvs Ateba Gautier · Mar 25L
KOvs Ryan Gandra · Feb 26Dusko TodorovicL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chidi Njokuani · May 22W
KOvs Jordan Wright · Oct 22L
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 23L
KOvs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Nov 24L
vs Zach Reese · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jose Daniel MedinaMetricDusko Todorovic
2.13
Strikes / min
4.73
5.34
Strikes absorbed / min
4.40
46%
Strike defense
48%
0.39
TDs / 15 min
1.77
27%
Takedown defense
42%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.21Δ 3.54 — meaningful gap+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jose Daniel MedinaDusko Todorovic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jose Daniel Medina(4 fights)Dusko Todorovic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.9-19.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Jose Daniel Medina
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4
Dusko Todorovic
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10