Flyweight
3 Rounds
Felipe Bunes won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 11, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jose Johnson wins(73.6%)
Actual result: Felipe Bunes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felipe Bunes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Felipe Bunes threatens submissions; Jose Johnson has lost 67% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Jose Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Felipe Bunes
Blue Corner
-166
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
31
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jose Johnson
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Aug 23W
SUBvs Chad Anheliger · Nov 23L
vs Asu Almabayev · Jun 24Felipe BunesL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Joshua Van · Jan 24L
vs Rafael Estevam · Aug 25L
vs Edgar Chairez · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jose JohnsonMetricFelipe Bunes
2.27
Strikes / min
3.17
1.61
Strikes absorbed / min
4.57
53%
Strike defense
47%
0.69
TDs / 15 min
1.08
41%
Takedown defense
40%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.66Δ 2.06 — meaningful gap-1.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jose JohnsonFelipe Bunes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jose Johnson(4 fights)Felipe Bunes(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-154.0154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Jose Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Felipe Bunes
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4