Flyweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Ortiz won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 9, 2013·Goiania, Goias, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupJose Maria: WrestlervsDustin Ortiz: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Dustin Ortiz wins(50.6%)
Actual result: Dustin Ortiz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dustin Ortiz has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jose Maria
Red Corner
VS
Dustin Ortiz
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
44
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
165 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jose Maria
oldest →latest
L
KOvs John Lineker · Aug 13Dustin Ortiz
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brandon Moreno · Apr 17W
KOvs Hector Sandoval · Aug 17W
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jan 18W
vs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 18L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jan 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jose MariaMetricDustin Ortiz
3.20
Strikes / min
2.94
3.98
Strikes absorbed / min
2.17
52%
Strike defense
56%
2.32
TDs / 15 min
3.01
33%
Takedown defense
52%
2.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.78Δ 1.55 — meaningful gap+0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jose MariaDustin Ortiz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jose Maria(2 fights)Dustin Ortiz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.315.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Jose Maria
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Dustin Ortiz
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights14