Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Josefine Knutsson won · U-DEC R3
JK
JP
Josefine KnutssonvsJulia Polastri
UFC Event · Saturday, June 15, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josefine Knutsson wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Josefine Knutsson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Julia Polastri has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Josefine Knutsson
Red Corner
VS
Julia Polastri
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
30
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'2"
152.4 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josefine Knutsson
oldest →latest
W
vs Marnic Mann · Sep 23L
vs Piera Rodriguez · Dec 24Julia Polastri
oldest →latest
W
vs Cory McKenna · Oct 24L
vs Loopy Godinez · Mar 25W
KOvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josefine KnutssonMetricJulia Polastri
4.24
Strikes / min
6.22
2.13
Strikes absorbed / min
5.18
54%
Strike defense
59%
1.60
TDs / 15 min
0.62
35%
Takedown defense
57%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.11Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap+1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josefine KnutssonJulia Polastri
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josefine Knutsson(3 fights)Julia Polastri(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Josefine Knutsson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach60.0"
Fights3
Julia Polastri
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights4