Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Piera Rodriguez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 14, 2024·Tampa, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josefine Knutsson wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Piera Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Piera Rodriguez has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Josefine Knutsson
Red Corner
VS
Piera Rodriguez
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
30
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'3"
152.4 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josefine KnutssonW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Marnic Mann · Sep 23W
vs Julia Polastri · Jun 24Piera RodriguezW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Sam Hughes · Oct 22L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Apr 23L
vs Ariane Carnelossi · May 24W
vs Ketlen Souza · Aug 25W
vs Sam Hughes · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josefine KnutssonMetricPiera Rodriguez
4.24
Strikes / min
4.04
2.13
Strikes absorbed / min
3.13
54%
Strike defense
53%
1.60
TDs / 15 min
4.04
35%
Takedown defense
81%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.11Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap+0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josefine KnutssonPiera Rodriguez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josefine Knutsson(3 fights)Piera Rodriguez(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.7-33.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Josefine Knutsson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach60.0"
Fights3
Piera Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights7