Flyweight
3 Rounds
Joseph Benavidez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 3, 2015·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupJoseph Benavidez: Elusive strikervsAli Bagautinov: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Joseph Benavidez wins(54.1%)
Actual result: Joseph Benavidez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Benavidez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Joseph Benavidez
Red Corner
VS
Ali Bagautinov
Blue Corner
-340
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
41
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'4"
165.1 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joseph BenavidezL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Dustin Ortiz · Jan 19W
KOvs Jussier Formiga · Jun 19L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Feb 20L
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jul 20L
vs Askar Askarov · Mar 21Ali Bagautinov
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Elliott · Nov 13W
vs John Lineker · Feb 14L
vs Demetrious Johnson · Jun 14W
vs Geane Herrera · Jun 16L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joseph BenavidezMetricAli Bagautinov
3.52
Strikes / min
2.85
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
3.09
61%
Strike defense
52%
1.41
TDs / 15 min
2.51
62%
Takedown defense
65%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap-0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joseph BenavidezAli Bagautinov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joseph Benavidez(10 fights)Ali Bagautinov(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+63.7-63.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-343.0343.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Joseph Benavidez
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights21
Ali Bagautinov
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7