Flyweight
3 Rounds
Joseph Benavidez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 23, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Joseph Benavidez wins(61.7%)
Actual result: Joseph Benavidez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joseph Benavidez has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Benavidez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Joseph Benavidez
Red Corner
VS
John Moraga
Blue Corner
-750
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+525
(16%)
41
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'6"
165.1 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joseph BenavidezL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Dustin Ortiz · Jan 19W
KOvs Jussier Formiga · Jun 19L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Feb 20L
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jul 20L
vs Askar Askarov · Mar 21John Moraga
oldest →latest
L
vs Sergio Pettis · Jan 17W
vs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Jun 17W
KOvs Magomed Bibulatov · Oct 17W
vs Wilson Reis · Apr 18L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joseph BenavidezMetricJohn Moraga
3.52
Strikes / min
2.57
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
2.55
61%
Strike defense
56%
1.41
TDs / 15 min
0.62
62%
Takedown defense
44%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joseph BenavidezJohn Moraga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joseph Benavidez(10 fights)John Moraga(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+34.8-34.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Joseph Benavidez
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights21
John Moraga
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14