Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Nick Denis won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, January 20, 2012·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Nick Denis wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Nick Denis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nick Denis is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Joseph Sandoval has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Joseph Sandoval has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Nick Denis has 80pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Sandoval (53.5%).
- Nick Denis has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Joseph Sandoval
Red Corner
VS
Nick Denis
Blue Corner
+250
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-275
(73%)
40
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
168 cm
Reach
178 cm
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joseph Sandoval
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Walel Watson · Oct 11Nick Denis
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Roland Delorme · May 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joseph SandovalMetricNick Denis
1.82
Strikes / min
6.54
12.12
Strikes absorbed / min
5.42
60%
Strike defense
36%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.80
0%
Takedown defense
80%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-10.30Δ 11.42 — meaningful gap+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joseph SandovalNick Denis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joseph Sandoval(2 fights)Nick Denis(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.016.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Joseph Sandoval
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Nick Denis
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights2