Featherweight
3 Rounds
Josh Culibao won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 11, 2023·Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupJosh Culibao: Well-roundedvsMelsik Baghdasaryan: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Josh Culibao wins(51.7%)
Actual result: Josh Culibao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Melsik Baghdasaryan (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Josh Culibao
Red Corner
VS
Melsik Baghdasaryan
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
31
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh CulibaoL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · May 21W
vs SeungWoo Choi · Jun 22L
vs Lerone Murphy · Jul 23L
vs Danny Silva · Mar 24L
vs Ricardo Ramos · Aug 24Melsik Baghdasaryan
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Collin Anglin · Jul 21W
vs Bruno Souza · Nov 21W
vs Tucker Lutz · Jul 23L
KOvs Jean Silva · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh CulibaoMetricMelsik Baghdasaryan
3.41
Strikes / min
5.04
3.04
Strikes absorbed / min
3.14
59%
Strike defense
56%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
65%
Takedown defense
72%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.37Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap+1.90
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh CulibaoMelsik Baghdasaryan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Culibao(6 fights)Melsik Baghdasaryan(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-217.0217.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Josh Culibao
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Melsik Baghdasaryan
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5