Featherweight
3 Rounds
Josh Emmett won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 16, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josh Emmett wins(53.3%)
Actual result: Josh Emmett wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Emmett enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bryce Mitchell (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Josh Emmett
Red Corner
VS
Bryce Mitchell
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
41
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh EmmettL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Yair Rodriguez · Feb 23L
vs Ilia Topuria · Jun 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · Apr 25L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Oct 25L
KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 26Bryce Mitchell
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Ilia Topuria · Dec 22W
vs Dan Ige · Sep 23W
KOvs Kron Gracie · Dec 24L
SUBvs Jean Silva · Apr 25W
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh EmmettMetricBryce Mitchell
3.67
Strikes / min
2.27
4.52
Strikes absorbed / min
1.60
59%
Strike defense
58%
1.07
TDs / 15 min
3.24
43%
Takedown defense
33%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.85Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap+0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh EmmettBryce Mitchell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Emmett(10 fights)Bryce Mitchell(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-8.98.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Josh Emmett
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17
Bryce Mitchell
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12