Lightweight
3 Rounds
Desmond Green won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 8, 2017·Buffalo, New York, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josh Emmett wins(53.6%)
Actual result: Desmond Green wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Desmond Green has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Desmond Green has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Desmond Green (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Josh Emmett
Red Corner
VS
Desmond Green
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
41
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh EmmettL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ilia Topuria · Jun 23W
KOvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · Apr 25L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Oct 25L
KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 26Desmond GreenW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Michel Prazeres · Feb 18W
vs Gleison Tibau · Jun 18L
vs Mairbek Taisumov · Sep 18W
KOvs Ross Pearson · Mar 19W
vs Charles Jourdain · May 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh EmmettMetricDesmond Green
3.67
Strikes / min
3.70
4.52
Strikes absorbed / min
2.51
59%
Strike defense
69%
1.07
TDs / 15 min
1.62
43%
Takedown defense
75%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.85Δ 2.04 — meaningful gap+1.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh EmmettDesmond Green
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Emmett(10 fights)Desmond Green(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.7-37.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.248.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Josh Emmett
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17
Desmond Green
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7