Featherweight
5 Rounds
Jeremy Stephens won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 24, 2018·Orlando, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josh Emmett wins(59.1%)
Actual result: Jeremy Stephens wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Jeremy Stephens has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Josh Emmett
Red Corner
VS
Jeremy Stephens
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
41
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh EmmettL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ilia Topuria · Jun 23W
KOvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · Apr 25L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Oct 25L
KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 26Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Mar 19L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21L
vs Mason Jones · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh EmmettMetricJeremy Stephens
3.67
Strikes / min
3.13
4.52
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
59%
Strike defense
57%
1.07
TDs / 15 min
1.10
43%
Takedown defense
61%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.85evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh EmmettJeremy Stephens
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Emmett(10 fights)Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.6-19.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+29.0-29.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Josh Emmett
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17
Jeremy Stephens
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights26