Featherweight
5 Rounds
Kevin Vallejos won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 14, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josh Emmett wins(50.0%)
Actual result: Kevin Vallejos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Vallejos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Kevin Vallejos has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kevin Vallejos (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Josh Emmett
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Vallejos
Blue Corner
+400
(20%)
Vegas Odds
-520
(84%)
41
Age
24
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh EmmettL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Yair Rodriguez · Feb 23L
vs Ilia Topuria · Jun 23W
KOvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · Apr 25L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Oct 25Kevin VallejosW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs SeungWoo Choi · Mar 25W
vs Danny Silva · Aug 25W
KOvs Giga Chikadze · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh EmmettMetricKevin Vallejos
3.67
Strikes / min
6.12
4.52
Strikes absorbed / min
4.41
59%
Strike defense
57%
1.07
TDs / 15 min
0.66
43%
Takedown defense
84%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.85Δ 2.56 — meaningful gap+1.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh EmmettKevin Vallejos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Emmett(10 fights)Kevin Vallejos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.9-14.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.81.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Josh Emmett
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17
Kevin Vallejos
StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4