Featherweight
5 Rounds
Lerone Murphy won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, April 5, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josh Emmett wins(50.7%)
Actual result: Lerone Murphy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Josh Emmett
Red Corner
VS
Lerone Murphy
Blue Corner
+260
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-320
(76%)
41
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh EmmettL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Yair Rodriguez · Feb 23L
vs Ilia Topuria · Jun 23W
KOvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 23L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Oct 25L
KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 26Lerone Murphy
oldest →latest
W
vs Josh Culibao · Jul 23W
vs Edson Barboza · May 24W
vs Dan Ige · Oct 24W
KOvs Aaron Pico · Aug 25L
vs Movsar Evloev · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh EmmettMetricLerone Murphy
3.67
Strikes / min
4.34
4.52
Strikes absorbed / min
2.65
59%
Strike defense
60%
1.07
TDs / 15 min
1.20
43%
Takedown defense
44%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.85Δ 2.54 — meaningful gap+1.69
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh EmmettLerone Murphy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Emmett(10 fights)Lerone Murphy(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.611.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+315.0-315.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Josh Emmett
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17
Lerone Murphy
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10