Featherweight
3 Rounds
Josh Emmett won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 30, 2019·Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josh Emmett wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Josh Emmett wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Michael Johnson has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Johnson (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Josh Emmett
Red Corner
VS
Michael Johnson
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
41
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh EmmettL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ilia Topuria · Jun 23W
KOvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · Apr 25L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Oct 25L
KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 26Michael Johnson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 23W
vs Darrius Flowers · Feb 24W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Dec 24W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Jul 25L
KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh EmmettMetricMichael Johnson
3.67
Strikes / min
4.27
4.52
Strikes absorbed / min
3.78
59%
Strike defense
58%
1.07
TDs / 15 min
0.57
43%
Takedown defense
81%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.85Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap+0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh EmmettMichael Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Emmett(10 fights)Michael Johnson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.112.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+245.0-245.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Josh Emmett
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17
Michael Johnson
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights32