Featherweight
3 Rounds
Josh Emmett won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 20, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josh Emmett wins(53.4%)
Actual result: Josh Emmett wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Shane Burgos has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Shane Burgos has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Josh Emmett
Red Corner
VS
Shane Burgos
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
41
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh EmmettL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ilia Topuria · Jun 23W
KOvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · Apr 25L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Oct 25L
KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 26Shane BurgosW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cub Swanson · May 19W
KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Nov 19L
KOvs Edson Barboza · May 21W
vs Billy Quarantillo · Nov 21W
vs Charles Jourdain · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh EmmettMetricShane Burgos
3.67
Strikes / min
7.40
4.52
Strikes absorbed / min
6.78
59%
Strike defense
56%
1.07
TDs / 15 min
0.43
43%
Takedown defense
91%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.85Δ 1.47 — meaningful gap+0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh EmmettShane Burgos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Emmett(10 fights)Shane Burgos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-7.27.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+112.0-112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Josh Emmett
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17
Shane Burgos
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11