Featherweight
3 Rounds
Youssef Zalal won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 4, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josh Emmett wins(58.5%)
Actual result: Youssef Zalal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Youssef Zalal enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Youssef Zalal (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Josh Emmett
Red Corner
VS
Youssef Zalal
Blue Corner
+360
(22%)
Vegas Odds
-460
(82%)
41
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh EmmettL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Yair Rodriguez · Feb 23L
vs Ilia Topuria · Jun 23W
KOvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · Apr 25L
KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 26Youssef ZalalW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sean Woodson · Jun 21W
SUBvs Billy Quarantillo · Mar 24W
SUBvs Jarno Errens · Aug 24W
SUBvs Jack Shore · Nov 24W
vs Calvin Kattar · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh EmmettMetricYoussef Zalal
3.67
Strikes / min
2.78
4.52
Strikes absorbed / min
1.79
59%
Strike defense
64%
1.07
TDs / 15 min
1.84
43%
Takedown defense
55%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.85Δ 1.84 — meaningful gap+0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh EmmettYoussef Zalal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Emmett(10 fights)Youssef Zalal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.4-33.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Josh Emmett
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17
Youssef Zalal
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10