Middleweight
3 Rounds
Josh Fremd won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 12, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Josh Fremd wins(57.7%)
Actual result: Josh Fremd wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jamie Pickett enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jamie Pickett has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jamie Pickett has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Josh Fremd
Red Corner
VS
Jamie Pickett
Blue Corner
-325
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
32
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
193.04 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh FremdL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Anthony Hernandez · Apr 22L
SUBvs Tresean Gore · Oct 22W
SUBvs Sedriques Dumas · Mar 23L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Sep 23L
vs Andre Petroski · Jul 24Jamie PickettL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joseph Holmes · Jan 22L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Feb 22L
KOvs Denis Tiuliulin · Sep 22L
SUBvs Bo Nickal · Mar 23L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh FremdMetricJamie Pickett
2.52
Strikes / min
2.65
2.23
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
47%
Strike defense
50%
0.66
TDs / 15 min
1.26
30%
Takedown defense
67%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap-0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh FremdJamie Pickett
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Fremd(6 fights)Jamie Pickett(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.5-32.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Josh Fremd
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6
Jamie Pickett
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights9