Featherweight
3 Rounds
Rani Yahya won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 4, 2012·Los Angeles, California, USA, USA
Style matchupJosh Grispi: Submission grapplervsRani Yahya: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Josh Grispi wins(54.3%)
Actual result: Rani Yahya wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Grispi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Josh Grispi has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Josh Grispi
Red Corner
VS
Rani Yahya
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
37
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'6"
187.96 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh GrispiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Dustin Poirier · Jan 11L
KOvs George Roop · Jun 11L
vs Andy Ogle · Feb 13Rani YahyaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ricky Simon · Feb 19W
SUBvs Ray Rodriguez · Mar 21W
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 21L
KOvs Montel Jackson · Apr 23L
KOvs Victor Henry · Apr 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh GrispiMetricRani Yahya
1.44
Strikes / min
1.71
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
2.08
50%
Strike defense
50%
1.97
TDs / 15 min
2.73
16%
Takedown defense
29%
2.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.27Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap-0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Josh GrispiRani Yahya
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Grispi(4 fights)Rani Yahya(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-31.331.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Josh Grispi
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4
Rani Yahya
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights19